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Flirt Fayetteville North Carolina NC

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Have we finally seen the end of winter in the Cape Fear region? The patterns answer with a resounding Remember last week, temperatures bolted to 80 degrees, only to stagger below freezing in some spots.

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This week, Fayetteville should see temperatures again flirt with the degree mark, providing a great temptation for gardeners to start digging. In addition, this time there's no looming cold snap on the horizon. Long-range modeling keeps eastern North Carolina in the upper 60s or warmer as we march toward April.

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Low temperatures appear to settle in the upper 40s to low 50s. Another hint that things have turned the corner: this morning, a low-level system is trying to spin up off the Carolina coast. This is the sort of activity we generally don't see for about another month.

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In fact, if this were May, we'd be pondering potential tropical development. As it is, surface temperatures are far too chilly for anything tropical to spin up.

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But it's interesting to see. The system will continue to weaken, with cloudiness and some elevated surf the only indication that anything was there. The Cape Fear region sits under the sway of a large high-pressure system over New England.

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That, plus the offshore low, continue to pump a northeast flow into the Carolinas for the next couple of days. As usual, a northeast flow means increased clouds, and Tuesday is looking gloomy. There's a sparse chance of light rain across the region, but I think we're just looking at a dreary day, with highs in the low 60s for Fayetteville.

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As the high-pressure ridge moves away, look for the offshore low to nudge closer to the coast, but the effect locally will be minimal. By Wednesday, winds will shift to the south or southeast over the region.

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Temperatures and the chance of rain will increase for Fayetteville, though totals should be light. Look for a high near 70 and a low that won't dip much below Thursday sees the return of thundershower potential in the region as a couple of low-pressure systems begin to move east. Right now, it looks like any activity Thursday would be isolated, and not severe, with highs in Fayetteville in the upper 70s. For the weekend: Friday's outlook hinges entirely on the speed and direction of these systems, and how the low-level jet stream reacts.

As of now, it appears the first will side to our north, taking the more severe weather with them.

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The second has a little more push and could drop a front into North Carolina Friday night. If so, we could see some strong storms, primarily along the boundary, with increased rain chances for the weekend.

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Got a weather question? Chick Jacobs can be reached at ncweatherhound gmail.

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Support local journalism with a subscription to The Fayetteville Observer. Click the "subscribe'' link at the top of this article.

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Facebook Twitter. Weather Permitting: Here's your Fayetteville area forecast for the week.

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Chick Jacobs Correspondent.

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